Capitals @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Capitals 0 - Lightning 0
Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Washington
Capitals
9-6 Rating 1528
Form: WWLLW
@
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Capitals Lightning
All-time wins 94 65
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.3 2.7
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Capitals Lightning
Games played 15 16
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.8
Avg goals conceded 3.4 3.1
Win percentage 60% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%