Lightning @ Jets

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 3 - Jets 4
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW
3 – 4
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Winnipeg
Jets
6-11 Rating 1478
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Jets
All-time wins 55 52
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.3 3.0
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Jets
Games played 16 17
Avg goals scored 3.8 2.6
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.5
Win percentage 69% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 38%