Lightning @ Sabres

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Sabres 0
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL
@
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Buffalo Sabres +0.2
Buffalo
Sabres
8-9 Rating 1530
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Sabres
All-time wins 54 65
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Sabres
Games played 17 17
Avg goals scored 3.7 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.4
Win percentage 65% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 44%