Sabres @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Sabres 0 - Lightning 0
Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Buffalo
Sabres
8-9 Rating 1530
Form: WWLWL
@
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Sabres Lightning
All-time wins 65 54
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 2.9
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Sabres Lightning
Games played 17 17
Avg goals scored 2.9 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.4 3.1
Win percentage 47% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%