Maple Leafs @ Oilers

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 7 - Oilers 2
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
6-6 Rating 1478
Form: LLWWW
7 – 2
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Edmonton Oilers +0.9
Edmonton
Oilers
8-2 Rating 1531
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Oilers
All-time wins 65 50
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.7 3.6
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Oilers
Games played 12 10
Avg goals scored 3.6 4.7
Avg goals conceded 3.2 3.2
Win percentage 50% 80%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 60%