Islanders @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Islanders 4 - Maple Leafs 1
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
New York
Islanders
3-4 Rating 1491
Form: LWLWL
4 – 1
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2
Toronto
Maple Leafs
3-5 Rating 1470
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Islanders Maple Leafs
All-time wins 96 89
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.4 3.1
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Islanders Maple Leafs
Games played 7 8
Avg goals scored 2.9 3.5
Avg goals conceded 2.4 3.5
Win percentage 43% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 40%