Maple Leafs @ Flames

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Flames 5
Monday, October 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
7-6 Rating 1483
Form: LWWWW
2 – 5
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Calgary Flames +0.3
Calgary
Flames
4-6 Rating 1471
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Flames
All-time wins 78 69
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average goals 3.4 3.5
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Flames
Games played 13 10
Avg goals scored 3.8 2.3
Avg goals conceded 3.2 3.9
Win percentage 54% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 50%