Maple Leafs @ Kraken

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Kraken 5
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
7-7 Rating 1479
Form: WWWWL
4 – 5
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Seattle Kraken +0.4
Seattle
Kraken
7-5 Rating 1470
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Kraken
All-time wins 7 3
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.7 2.7
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Kraken
Games played 14 12
Avg goals scored 3.7 3.8
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.5
Win percentage 50% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 60%