Final Score: Suns 121 - Heat 127
Tuesday, January 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Suns @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Suns
24-15 Rating 1670
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Phoenix Suns +0.8
Heat
20-19 Rating 1479
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Suns Heat
All-time wins 40 33
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 104.8 103.1
Last meeting 111 121

Key Season Stats

Stat Suns Heat
Games played 39 39
Avg points scored 114.7 119.4
Avg points conceded 111.8 117.7
Win percentage 62% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 68%