Final Score: Celtics 119 - Heat 114
Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Celtics @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Celtics | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 108 | 75 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 101.1 | 99.2 |
| Last meeting | 129 | 116 |
| Stat | Celtics | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 39 | 40 |
| Avg points scored | 116.6 | 119.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 110.1 | 117.8 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 70% |
Recent Results
Celtics
@ Indiana Pacers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 194
96-98
vs San Antonio Spurs
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 195
95-100
vs Toronto Raptors
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 242
125-117
vs Denver Nuggets
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 224
110-114
vs Chicago Bulls
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 216
115-101
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +31 · Total: 261
146-115
@ Sacramento Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 226
120-106
@ Utah Jazz
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 248
129-119
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 222
108-114
@ Indiana Pacers
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 262
140-122
Heat
vs Phoenix Suns
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 248
127-121
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 236
112-124
@ Indiana Pacers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -24 · Total: 222
99-123
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 216
94-122
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 231
125-106
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 240
115-125
@ Detroit Pistons
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 230
118-112
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 270
147-123
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 258
142-116
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111