Final Score: Nuggets 123 - Heat 147
Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
Nuggets @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nuggets | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 47 | 35 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average points | 105.4 | 102.1 |
| Last meeting | 122 | 112 |
| Stat | Nuggets | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 31 | 32 |
| Avg points scored | 125.8 | 120.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.5 | 117.4 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 75% | 69% |
Recent Results
Nuggets
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 253
126-127
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 280
142-138
@ Dallas Mavericks
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 261
130-131
vs Utah Jazz
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +23 · Total: 247
135-112
vs Houston Rockets
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 216
101-115
vs Orlando Magic
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 241
126-115
vs Houston Rockets
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 253
128-125
@ Sacramento Kings
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 241
136-105
@ Charlotte Hornets
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 221
115-106
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 267
134-133
Heat
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 258
142-116
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 203
91-112
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 238
111-127
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 211
105-106