Final Score: Nuggets 130 - Mavericks 131
Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET
Nuggets @ Mavericks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nuggets | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 101 | 104 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 107.4 | 107.7 |
| Last meeting | 121 | 131 |
| Stat | Nuggets | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 28 | 30 |
| Avg points scored | 125.1 | 113.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 116.0 | 116.9 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 37% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 86% | 47% |
Recent Results
Nuggets
vs Utah Jazz
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +23 · Total: 247
135-112
vs Houston Rockets
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 216
101-115
vs Orlando Magic
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 241
126-115
vs Houston Rockets
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 253
128-125
@ Sacramento Kings
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 241
136-105
@ Charlotte Hornets
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 221
115-106
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 267
134-133
@ Indiana Pacers
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 255
135-120
vs Dallas Mavericks
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 252
121-131
@ Phoenix Suns
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 242
130-112
Mavericks
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 232
113-119
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 235
114-121
vs Detroit Pistons
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 230
116-114
@ Utah Jazz
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 273
133-140
vs Brooklyn Nets
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 230
119-111
vs Houston Rockets
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 231
122-109
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 243
111-132
vs Miami Heat
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 226
118-108
@ Denver Nuggets
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 252
131-121
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 224
114-110