Final Score: Mavericks 111 - Thunder 132
Friday, December 5, 2025 at 9:30 PM ET
Mavericks @ Thunder
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mavericks | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 100 | 108 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 103.2 | 104.6 |
| Last meeting | 94 | 101 |
| Stat | Mavericks | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 23 | 22 |
| Avg points scored | 111.4 | 122.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 115.7 | 107.0 |
| Win percentage | 35% | 95% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 100% |
Recent Results
Mavericks
vs Miami Heat
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 226
118-108
@ Denver Nuggets
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 252
131-121
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 224
114-110
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 248
119-129
@ Miami Heat
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 208
102-106
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 198
96-102
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 233
118-115
vs New York Knicks
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 224
111-113
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 216
96-120
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 271
138-133
Thunder
@ Golden State Warriors
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 236
124-112
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 238
123-115
vs Phoenix Suns
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 242
123-119
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 218
113-105
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +27 · Total: 217
122-95
@ Utah Jazz
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: +32 · Total: 256
144-112
vs Sacramento Kings
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 212
113-99
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 235
126-109
@ Charlotte Hornets
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 205
109-96
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 213
121-92