Final Score: Mavericks 102 - Heat 106
Monday, November 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
5-13 Rating 1284
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
13%
87%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +11.0
Heat
11-6 Rating 1614
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 44 45
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 100.0 100.3
Last meeting 118 113

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 18 17
Avg points scored 109.9 124.9
Avg points conceded 116.0 118.9
Win percentage 28% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 88%