Final Score: Warriors 96 - Heat 110
Wednesday, November 19, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
Warriors @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Warriors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 37 | 36 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 106.2 | 105.0 |
| Last meeting | 86 | 112 |
| Stat | Warriors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 14 |
| Avg points scored | 115.5 | 124.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 114.4 | 121.5 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 86% |
Recent Results
Warriors
@ Orlando Magic
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 234
113-121
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 230
124-106
@ San Antonio Spurs
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 217
109-108
@ San Antonio Spurs
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 245
125-120
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 228
102-126
vs Indiana Pacers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 197
114-83
@ Denver Nuggets
Nov 7, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 233
104-129
@ Sacramento Kings
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 237
116-121
vs Phoenix Suns
Nov 4, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 225
118-107
@ Indiana Pacers
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 223
109-114
Heat
vs New York Knicks
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 228
115-113
@ New York Knicks
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 272
132-140
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 246
116-130
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Nov 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 278
140-138
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 267
136-131
vs Charlotte Hornets
Nov 7, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 234
126-108
@ Denver Nuggets
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 234
112-122
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 239
120-119
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 250
120-130
@ San Antonio Spurs
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 208
101-107