Final Score: Timberwolves 138 - Nuggets 142
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 10:30 PM ET

Timberwolves @ Nuggets

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Timberwolves
20-10 Rating 1728
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Denver Nuggets +4.4
Nuggets
21-8 Rating 1764
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Timberwolves Nuggets
All-time wins 69 99
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 103.0 103.8
Last meeting 112 123

Key Season Stats

Stat Timberwolves Nuggets
Games played 30 29
Avg points scored 118.5 125.2
Avg points conceded 113.5 116.5
Win percentage 67% 72%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 64%