Final Score: Heat 118 - Pistons 112
Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Heat @ Pistons
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 82 | 67 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 96.5 | 95.7 |
| Last meeting | 135 | 138 |
| Stat | Heat | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 33 | 33 |
| Avg points scored | 121.0 | 119.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.5 | 112.7 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 76% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 87% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 270
147-123
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 258
142-116
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 203
91-112
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 238
111-127
Pistons
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 234
128-106
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 211
99-112
@ Utah Jazz
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 260
129-131
@ Sacramento Kings
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 263
136-127
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 212
110-102
vs Charlotte Hornets
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 198
112-86
@ Dallas Mavericks
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 230
114-116
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 217
112-105
vs Atlanta Hawks
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: +27 · Total: 257
142-115
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 236
124-112