Final Score: Timberwolves 125 - Heat 115
Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Timberwolves @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Timberwolves | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 34 | 36 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 97.9 | 101.8 |
| Last meeting | 106 | 104 |
| Stat | Timberwolves | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 34 |
| Avg points scored | 118.8 | 120.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 114.6 | 117.4 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 71% |
Recent Results
Timberwolves
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 228
102-126
@ Chicago Bulls
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +35 · Total: 237
136-101
vs Brooklyn Nets
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 230
107-123
@ Denver Nuggets
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 280
138-142
vs New York Knicks
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 219
115-104
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 203
103-100
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 219
112-107
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Dec 17, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 226
110-116
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 220
117-103
@ Golden State Warriors
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 247
127-120
Heat
@ Detroit Pistons
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 230
118-112
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 270
147-123
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 258
142-116
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 203
91-112
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117