Final Score: Pelicans 106 - Heat 125
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Pelicans @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pelicans | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 24 | 32 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 95.0 | 98.2 |
| Last meeting | 104 | 153 |
| Stat | Pelicans | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 36 | 35 |
| Avg points scored | 115.4 | 120.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 123.1 | 117.6 |
| Win percentage | 22% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 14% | 67% |
Recent Results
Pelicans
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: -13 · Total: 231
109-122
@ Chicago Bulls
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 252
118-134
vs New York Knicks
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 255
125-130
vs Phoenix Suns
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 237
114-123
vs Phoenix Suns
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 223
108-115
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -23 · Total: 259
118-141
vs Dallas Mavericks
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 232
119-113
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 237
128-109
vs Houston Rockets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 261
133-128
@ Chicago Bulls
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 218
114-104
Heat
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 240
115-125
@ Detroit Pistons
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 230
118-112
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 270
147-123
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 258
142-116
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 203
91-112
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106