Final Score: Raptors 112 - Heat 91
Tuesday, December 23, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
Raptors @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Raptors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 48 | 68 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 97.6 | 99.5 |
| Last meeting | 106 | 96 |
| Stat | Raptors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 30 | 29 |
| Avg points scored | 113.5 | 120.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 112.3 | 117.8 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 71% |
Recent Results
Raptors
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 177
81-96
vs Boston Celtics
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 208
96-112
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 216
111-105
@ Miami Heat
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 202
106-96
vs New York Knicks
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 218
101-117
vs Boston Celtics
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 234
113-121
vs Charlotte Hornets
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 197
86-111
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 243
120-123
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 239
121-118
@ New York Knicks
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 210
94-116
Heat
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 238
111-127
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 211
105-106
@ Dallas Mavericks
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 226
108-118
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 263
140-123
vs Detroit Pistons
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 273
135-138