Final Score: Raptors 106 - Heat 96
Monday, December 15, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
Raptors @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Raptors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 47 | 68 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 97.5 | 99.5 |
| Last meeting | 111 | 120 |
| Stat | Raptors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 26 | 25 |
| Avg points scored | 115.8 | 121.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 113.9 | 118.2 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 77% |
Recent Results
Raptors
vs New York Knicks
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 218
101-117
vs Boston Celtics
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 234
113-121
vs Charlotte Hornets
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 197
86-111
vs Los Angeles Lakers
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 243
120-123
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 239
121-118
@ New York Knicks
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 210
94-116
@ Charlotte Hornets
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 229
111-118
vs Indiana Pacers
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 192
97-95
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 209
110-99
vs Brooklyn Nets
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 228
119-109
Heat
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 238
111-127
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 211
105-106
@ Dallas Mavericks
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 226
108-118
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 263
140-123
vs Detroit Pistons
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 273
135-138
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 209
106-103
vs Dallas Mavericks
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 208
106-102
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 244
127-117
@ Chicago Bulls
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: +36 · Total: 250
143-107