Final Score: Pistons 138 - Heat 135
Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET
Pistons @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pistons | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 66 | 82 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 95.4 | 96.2 |
| Last meeting | 116 | 113 |
| Stat | Pistons | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 19 | 19 |
| Avg points scored | 118.8 | 122.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 112.8 | 117.2 |
| Win percentage | 79% | 68% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 78% | 90% |
Recent Results
Pistons
vs Orlando Magic
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 221
109-112
@ Boston Celtics
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 231
114-117
@ Indiana Pacers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 239
122-117
@ Milwaukee Bucks
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 245
129-116
@ Atlanta Hawks
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 232
120-112
vs Indiana Pacers
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 239
127-112
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 219
114-105
vs Chicago Bulls
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 237
124-113
vs Washington Wizards
Nov 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 272
137-135
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 219
111-108
Heat
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 209
106-103
vs Dallas Mavericks
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 208
106-102
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 244
127-117
@ Chicago Bulls
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: +36 · Total: 250
143-107
vs Golden State Warriors
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 206
110-96
vs New York Knicks
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 228
115-113
@ New York Knicks
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 272
132-140
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 246
116-130
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Nov 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 278
140-138
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 267
136-131