Final Score: Pacers 116 - Heat 142
Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET
Pacers @ Heat
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pacers | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 87 | 76 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 98.6 | 97.7 |
| Last meeting | 120 | 125 |
| Stat | Pacers | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 31 | 31 |
| Avg points scored | 109.6 | 119.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 118.4 | 117.4 |
| Win percentage | 19% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 7% | 67% |
Recent Results
Pacers
vs Boston Celtics
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: -18 · Total: 262
122-140
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 205
94-111
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 198
95-103
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -19 · Total: 237
109-128
vs New York Knicks
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 227
113-114
vs Washington Wizards
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -19 · Total: 197
89-108
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 220
105-115
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 221
116-105
@ Chicago Bulls
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 225
120-105
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 255
120-135
Heat
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 203
91-112
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 201
106-95
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 202
96-106
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 225
108-117
vs Sacramento Kings
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 238
111-127
@ Orlando Magic
Dec 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 211
105-106
@ Dallas Mavericks
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 226
108-118