Final Score: Heat 99 - Pacers 123
Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Heat @ Pacers
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 77 | 87 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 98.0 | 98.7 |
| Last meeting | 142 | 116 |
| Stat | Heat | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 37 | 38 |
| Avg points scored | 120.1 | 110.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 117.4 | 119.5 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 18% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 25% |
Recent Results
Heat
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 216
94-122
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 231
125-106
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 240
115-125
@ Detroit Pistons
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 230
118-112
vs Denver Nuggets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 270
147-123
vs Indiana Pacers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 258
142-116
@ Atlanta Hawks
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 237
126-111
vs Toronto Raptors
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 203
91-112
@ New York Knicks
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 257
125-132
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 245
116-129
Pacers
@ Charlotte Hornets
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 226
114-112
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 236
116-120
@ Orlando Magic
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 262
127-135
vs San Antonio Spurs
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 236
113-123
vs Orlando Magic
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 222
110-112
@ Houston Rockets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 245
119-126
@ Miami Heat
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -26 · Total: 258
116-142
vs Boston Celtics
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: -18 · Total: 262
122-140
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 205
94-111
@ Boston Celtics
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 198
95-103