Final Score: Pirates 5 - Yankees 3
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
52-49 Rating 1488
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Yankees
56-44 Rating 1548
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Yankees
All-time wins 10 19
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 6.7
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Yankees
Games played 101 100
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.9
Win percentage 51% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%