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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 6
Mon, Nov 16, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

North Macedonia vs Slovenia Prediction & Win Probability

Slovenia has a 45% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1580 · World #76
Form: LLLLL
VS
Rating 1697 · World #46
Form: WLWDD
Model Probability
25%
45%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%5%95%
North Macedonia win <1%<1%15%85%
Draw <1%<1%5%95%
Slovenia win <1%<1%<1%100%

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand2%92%6%<1%
North Macedonia win <1%84%16%<1%
Draw <1%93%7%<1%
Slovenia win 5%95%<1%<1%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Switzerland 4 12 1885 98% 2% <1% <1%
2 Slovenia 4 7 1697 2% 92% 6% <1%
3 Scotland 4 4 1719 <1% 6% 88% 5%
4 North Macedonia 4 0 1580 <1% <1% 5% 95%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
North MacedoniaStatSlovenia
2-2-6Won-Drawn-Lost2-5-3
0.8Avg goals scored0.8
2.2Avg goals conceded1.1
1580Rating1697
#76World rank#46

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
North MacedoniaStatSlovenia
2Wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.17Average goals1.33
Last meeting (Tue, Sep 29, 2026, Nations League): Slovenia 2–0 North Macedonia