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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 1
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 ยท 2:00 PM BST

Slovenia vs Scotland Prediction & Win Probability

Scotland has a 35% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1685 · World #51
Form: DLDDL
VS
Rating 1728 · World #35
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
34%
35%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand9%28%37%26%
Slovenia win 17%44%27%12%
Draw 7%27%40%26%
Scotland win 4%13%44%39%

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand17%40%28%15%
Slovenia win 8%25%40%26%
Draw 16%43%27%14%
Scotland win 27%53%16%5%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Switzerland 0 0 1865 71% 20% 7% 2%
– Scotland 0 0 1728 17% 40% 28% 15%
– Slovenia 0 0 1685 9% 28% 37% 26%
– North Macedonia 0 0 1602 2% 12% 28% 57%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SloveniaStatScotland
0-7-3Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-4
0.5Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded1.4
1685Rating1728
#51World rank#35

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SloveniaStatScotland
0Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draw)1
1.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (Sun, Oct 8, 2017, World Cup qualifier): Slovenia 2–2 Scotland

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

@ Sweden
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 28%
1–1
vs Kosovo
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
0–2
vs Switzerland
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–0
@ Kosovo
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 45%
0–0
@ Switzerland
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–3

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

vs Brazil
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–3
vs Morocco
Fri, Jun 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
@ Haiti
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–0
vs Denmark
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
4–2
@ Greece
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 31%
2–3