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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

North Macedonia vs Scotland Prediction & Win Probability

Scotland has a 47% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1602 · World #68
Form: LLDDW
VS
Rating 1728 · World #35
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
24%
47%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand2%12%28%57%
North Macedonia win 6%25%36%32%
Draw 2%12%31%54%
Scotland win <1%5%22%72%

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand17%40%28%15%
North Macedonia win 8%29%28%34%
Draw 14%38%32%16%
Scotland win 24%47%25%4%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Switzerland 0 0 1865 71% 20% 7% 2%
– Scotland 0 0 1728 17% 40% 28% 15%
– Slovenia 0 0 1685 9% 28% 37% 26%
– North Macedonia 0 0 1602 2% 12% 28% 57%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
North MacedoniaStatScotland
4-4-2Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-4
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.4
1602Rating1728
#68World rank#35

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
North MacedoniaStatScotland
0Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draw)1
1.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (Tue, Sep 10, 2013, World Cup qualifier): North Macedonia 1–2 Scotland

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

@ Denmark
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–4
@ Wales
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 20%
1–7
vs Kazakhstan
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 66%
1–1
@ Belgium
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–0
vs Liechtenstein
Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 91%
5–0

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

vs Brazil
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–3
vs Morocco
Fri, Jun 19, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
@ Haiti
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–0
vs Denmark
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
4–2
@ Greece
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 31%
2–3