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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Switzerland vs Slovenia Prediction & Win Probability

Switzerland has a 65% chance to win, with a 22% chance of a draw.

Rating 1865 · World #14
Form: DDWWW
VS
Rating 1685 · World #51
Form: DLDDL
Model Probability
65%
13%
Draw 22%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand71%20%7%2%
Switzerland win 79%17%3%<1%
Draw 63%23%11%3%
Slovenia win 42%32%19%6%

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand9%28%37%26%
Switzerland win 4%26%40%30%
Draw 12%30%35%23%
Slovenia win 32%31%25%12%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Switzerland 0 0 1865 71% 20% 7% 2%
– Scotland 0 0 1728 17% 40% 28% 15%
– Slovenia 0 0 1685 9% 28% 37% 26%
– North Macedonia 0 0 1602 2% 12% 28% 57%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SwitzerlandStatSlovenia
5-5-0Won-Drawn-Lost0-7-3
1.7Avg goals scored0.5
0.6Avg goals conceded1.3
1865Rating1685
#14World rank#51

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SwitzerlandStatSlovenia
4Wins (6 meetings, 1 draw)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draw)1
1.5Average goals0.5
Last meeting (Mon, Oct 13, 2025, World Cup qualifier): Slovenia 0–0 Switzerland

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland

@ Argentina
Sun, Jul 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 17%
1–1
vs Colombia
Tue, Jul 7, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 25%
0–0
vs Algeria
Fri, Jul 3, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–0
vs Canada
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 46%
2–1
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 64%
4–1

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

@ Sweden
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 28%
1–1
vs Kosovo
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
0–2
vs Switzerland
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–0
@ Kosovo
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 45%
0–0
@ Switzerland
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–3