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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 5
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Scotland vs North Macedonia Prediction & Win Probability

Scotland has a 60% chance to win, with a 24% chance of a draw.

Rating 1719 · World #40
Form: LWLDL
VS
Rating 1580 · World #76
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
60%
16%
Draw 24%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%6%88%5%
Scotland win <1%10%90%<1%
Draw <1%2%98%<1%
North Macedonia win <1%<1%68%32%

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%5%95%
Scotland win <1%<1%<1%100%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
North Macedonia win <1%<1%32%68%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Switzerland 4 12 1885 98% 2% <1% <1%
2 Slovenia 4 7 1697 2% 92% 6% <1%
3 Scotland 4 4 1719 <1% 6% 88% 5%
4 North Macedonia 4 0 1580 <1% <1% 5% 95%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
ScotlandStatNorth Macedonia
4-1-5Won-Drawn-Lost2-2-6
1.2Avg goals scored0.8
1.5Avg goals conceded2.2
1719Rating1580
#40World rank#76

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
ScotlandStatNorth Macedonia
2Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)0
2Last 3 meetings (1 draw)0
1.67Average goals0.67
Last meeting (Sat, Oct 3, 2026, Nations League): North Macedonia 0–2 Scotland