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Final Score: Norway 1–2 Portugal
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 2
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Norway vs Portugal Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Portugal had a 42% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1837 · World #17
Form: WDWWL
VS
Rating 1961 · World #6
Form: WLWDW
Pre-match probability
28%
42%
Draw 30%

League A ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Portugal 4 12 1961 100% <1% <1% <1%
2 Denmark 4 6 1829 <1% 62% 35% 2%
3 Wales 4 3 1718 <1% 3% 29% 68%
4 Norway 4 3 1837 <1% 34% 36% 30%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 7 internationals in any competition
NorwayStatPortugal
5-1-1Won-Drawn-Lost4-2-1
2.29Avg goals scored2.57
1.71Avg goals conceded0.57
1837Rating1961
#17World rank#6

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
NorwayStatPortugal
1Wins (5 meetings, 0 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.6Average goals1.6
Last meeting (Sun, Oct 4, 2026, Nations League): Portugal 2–1 Norway

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway

vs Denmark
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 43%
3–2
vs England
Sat, Jul 11, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–1
@ Brazil
Sun, Jul 5, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%
2–1
@ Ivory Coast
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–1
vs France
Fri, Jun 26, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 15%
1–4

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal

vs Wales
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 70%
1–0
vs Spain
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
vs Croatia
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 45%
2–1
@ Colombia
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
0–0
vs Uzbekistan
Tue, Jun 23, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 68%
5–0