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Final Score: Portugal 1–0 Wales
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 1
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Portugal vs Wales Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Portugal had a 70% chance to win, with a 19% chance of a draw.

Rating 1961 · World #6
Form: LWDWD
VS
Rating 1718 · World #41
Form: DWWLW
Pre-match probability
70%
11%
Draw 19%

League A ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Portugal 4 12 1961 100% <1% <1% <1%
2 Denmark 4 6 1829 <1% 62% 35% 2%
3 Wales 4 3 1718 <1% 3% 29% 68%
4 Norway 4 3 1837 <1% 34% 36% 30%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 6 internationals in any competition
PortugalStatWales
3-2-1Won-Drawn-Lost3-1-2
2.83Avg goals scored2.5
0.67Avg goals conceded1.67
1961Rating1718
#6World rank#41

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
PortugalStatWales
2Wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)0
2Last 2 meetings (0 draws)0
1.5Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Thu, Sep 24, 2026, Nations League): Portugal 1–0 Wales

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal

vs Spain
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
vs Croatia
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 45%
2–1
@ Colombia
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
0–0
vs Uzbekistan
Tue, Jun 23, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 68%
5–0
vs D.R. Congo
Wed, Jun 17, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 75%
1–1

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Wales

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 59%
1–1
vs North Macedonia
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%
7–1
@ Liechtenstein
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 92%
1–0
vs Belgium
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 21%
2–4
@ Kazakhstan
Thu, Sep 4, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 68%
1–0