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La Liga
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Villarreal has a 47% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1873
Form: WWLLL
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.4%10.9%3.7%
If Win <1%31.8%11.9%1.9%
If Draw <1%23.6%10.0%2.9%
If Lose <1%18.6%9.3%4.6%

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.2%9.6%3.3%
If Win <1%28.3%11.7%2.4%
If Draw <1%18.9%9.2%3.9%
If Lose <1%14.8%8.4%5.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

VillarrealStatAlaves
7Games played7
1.9Avg goals scored1.6
1.7Avg goals conceded0.9
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
VillarrealStatAlaves
7All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-08-28): Alaves 1–0 Villarreal