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Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Villarreal has a 48% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Villarreal
4-3-5Rating 1859
Form: WLWDL
vs
Model Probability
48%
Draw 26%
25%
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.2%6.3%8.7%
If Win <1%10.8%9.3%4.4%
If Draw <1%5.0%6.8%7.4%
If Lose <1%3.6%4.4%11.3%

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.2%12.8%2.8%
If Win <1%21.4%14.6%1.4%
If Draw <1%14.0%11.2%2.5%
If Lose <1%8.8%9.6%5.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

VillarrealStatAlaves
12Games played12
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
33% / 25% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 33% / 42%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
VillarrealStatAlaves
7All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-08-28): Alaves 1–0 Villarreal