La Liga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 64% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 21%
Model Prediction Through Season
Villarreal
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 21.4% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 36.2% | 12.0% | 1.6% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.0% | 10.3% | 4.9% |
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.4% | 96.7% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 15.0% | 97.3% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.2% | 94.8% | 2.4% | <1% |
| If Lose | 8.1% | 93.1% | 2.3% | <1% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.1 | Avg goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 71% / 0% / 29% | Win / Draw / Loss | 29% / 29% / 43% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | All-time wins (31 meetings, 11 draws) | 4 |
| 4 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 0 |
| 2.2 | Average goals | 1.3 |