← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 64% chance to win.
Final Score: Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Madrid
5-0-2Rating 2059
Form: LWWLW
1 – 0
Model Probability
64%
Draw 21%
15%
La Liga
Villarreal
2-2-3Rating 1859
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatVillarreal
7Games played7
2.6Avg goals scored1.9
1.1Avg goals conceded1.7
71% / 0% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatVillarreal
16All-time wins (31 meetings, 11 draws)4
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid