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Atl. Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 39% chance to win.
Final Score: Atl. Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · 3:15 PM BST
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
4-1-1Rating 1960
Form: WWLWD
2 – 1
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
39%
La Liga
Real Madrid
5-0-1Rating 2059
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatReal Madrid
6Games played6
2.3Avg goals scored2.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
67% / 17% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 0% / 17%
67% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatReal Madrid
7All-time wins (33 meetings, 12 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Real Madrid 3–2 Atl. Madrid