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Alaves vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Alaves 1–2 Atl. Madrid
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:15 PM BST
La Liga
Alaves
3-2-2Rating 1832
Form: DLLWW
1 – 2
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
5-1-1Rating 1960
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatAtl. Madrid
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored2.3
0.9Avg goals conceded1.0
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 14% / 14%
75% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatAtl. Madrid
2All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.6Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-18): Atl. Madrid 1–0 Alaves