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Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 3:15 PM BST

Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Celta Vigo has a 40% chance to win.

1-4-2 · Rating 1823
Form: WDDDL
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.5%9.7%3.2%
If Win <1%32.5%11.6%1.6%
If Draw <1%23.3%10.2%4.3%
If Lose <1%16.7%8.3%5.3%

Celta Vigo

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.4%4.2%15.9%
If Win <1%8.9%5.5%10.5%
If Draw <1%4.9%4.0%18.6%
If Lose <1%3.2%2.5%25.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Celta VigoStatAlaves
7Games played7
1.1Avg goals scored1.6
0.9Avg goals conceded0.9
14% / 57% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Celta VigoStatAlaves
9All-time wins (18 meetings, 3 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves