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Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST

Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 64% chance to win.

3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
VS
0-3-4 · Rating 1715
Form: LLDDL
Model Probability
64%
15%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Malaga

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%76.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%62.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%72.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%80.2%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%24.2%10.4%3.6%
If Win <1%27.6%10.7%2.2%
If Draw <1%17.3%8.8%4.5%
If Lose <1%15.0%7.7%8.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatMalaga
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored0.4
0.9Avg goals conceded1.7
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 43% / 57%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatMalaga
3All-time wins (4 meetings, 1 draws)0
3Last 4 meetings (1 draws)0
1.8Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2018-05-06): Malaga 0–3 Alaves