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Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST

Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 44% chance to win.

0-3-4 · Rating 1715
Form: LLDDL
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
29%
44%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.2%7.8%6.8%
If Win <1%20.1%10.1%3.2%
If Draw <1%13.7%7.3%6.6%
If Lose <1%11.2%6.8%9.6%

Malaga

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%76.3%
If Win <1%<1%<1%65.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%76.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%80.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MalagaStatReal Sociedad
7Games played7
0.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.7Avg goals conceded1.9
0% / 43% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MalagaStatReal Sociedad
5All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2018-04-22): Malaga 2–0 Real Sociedad