← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Alaves vs Real Sociedad
La Liga
Sun, Jan 10, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 47% chance to win.

3-2-2 · Rating 1854
Form: DLLWW
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.9%8.3%6.8%
If Win <1%23.8%10.0%3.1%
If Draw <1%16.3%9.2%5.2%
If Lose <1%12.5%6.0%7.4%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.5%10.0%3.4%
If Win <1%28.9%12.3%1.6%
If Draw <1%21.1%10.2%3.6%
If Lose <1%16.0%8.4%5.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatReal Sociedad
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.3
0.9Avg goals conceded1.9
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatReal Sociedad
6All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
0.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-11): Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves