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Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 44% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.8%6.3%8.2%
If Win <1%20.1%9.0%3.8%
If Draw <1%12.0%6.9%8.8%
If Lose <1%8.0%5.0%11.7%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.6%7.3%6.4%
If Win <1%22.1%9.9%3.4%
If Draw <1%14.1%8.0%7.5%
If Lose <1%10.6%6.2%9.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatRayo Vallecano
7Games played7
1.3Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded2.3
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatRayo Vallecano
8All-time wins (22 meetings, 8 draws)6
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad