Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-11 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-26 | 3–3 | Draw | Real Sociedad 37% | |
| 2025-10-05 | 0–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Real Sociedad 42% | |
| 2025-03-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 45% | |
| 2024-08-18 | 1–2 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Real Sociedad 53% | |
| 2024-01-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Sociedad 64% | |
| 2023-10-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Sociedad 40% | |
| 2023-04-22 | 2–1 | Real Sociedad +1 | Real Sociedad 54% | |
| 2023-01-21 | 0–2 | Real Sociedad +2 | Real Sociedad 40% | |
| 2022-05-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Sociedad 36% | |
| 2021-08-22 | 1–0 | Real Sociedad +1 | Real Sociedad 54% | |
| 2019-01-20 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Sociedad 39% | |
| 2018-09-25 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Sociedad 55% | |
| 2016-05-08 | 2–1 | Real Sociedad +1 | Real Sociedad 47% | |
| 2016-01-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 40% | |
| 2015-05-23 | 2–4 | Real Sociedad +2 | Rayo Vallecano 45% | |
| 2015-01-17 | 0–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Real Sociedad 49% | |
| 2014-03-10 | 2–3 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Real Sociedad 62% | |
| 2013-10-05 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Real Sociedad 36% | |
| 2013-04-14 | 0–2 | Real Sociedad +2 | Real Sociedad 38% | |
| 2012-11-19 | 4–0 | Real Sociedad +4 | Real Sociedad 45% | |
| 2012-04-01 | 4–0 | Real Sociedad +4 | Real Sociedad 42% | |
| 2011-11-06 | 4–0 | Rayo Vallecano +4 | Rayo Vallecano 46% |