Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Rayo Vallecano vs Elche
La Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 1:00 PM BST

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 46% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
VS
1-2-4 · Rating 1823
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Elche

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.4%4.7%17.2%
If Win <1%10.6%5.8%10.0%
If Draw <1%6.1%4.3%16.4%
If Lose <1%3.9%2.8%22.7%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%11.8%6.6%8.2%
If Win <1%16.1%7.4%5.6%
If Draw <1%10.0%5.8%9.9%
If Lose <1%7.1%4.8%13.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatElche
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
2.3Avg goals conceded2.4
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 29% / 57%
67% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatElche
4All-time wins (10 meetings, 0 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-04-03): Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche