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Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM BST

Rayo Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 46% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
VS
2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.0%6.1%9.7%
If Win <1%19.7%8.8%5.1%
If Draw <1%11.2%6.4%10.3%
If Lose <1%8.2%5.2%14.7%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.0%6.8%9.3%
If Win <1%16.7%8.6%5.3%
If Draw <1%10.3%6.1%11.2%
If Lose <1%7.4%5.2%13.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatAth Bilbao
7Games played6
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
2.3Avg goals conceded1.0
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatAth Bilbao
3All-time wins (22 meetings, 5 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.9Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Ath Bilbao