Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 41% | |
| 2025-08-25 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 50% | |
| 2025-04-13 | 3–1 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Ath Bilbao 56% | |
| 2024-12-01 | 1–2 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 42% | |
| 2024-05-25 | 0–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 47% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 4–0 | Ath Bilbao +4 | Ath Bilbao 50% | |
| 2023-03-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 38% | |
| 2022-09-17 | 3–2 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 52% | |
| 2022-01-23 | 0–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Rayo Vallecano 42% | |
| 2021-09-21 | 1–2 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Ath Bilbao 49% | |
| 2019-04-14 | 3–2 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 59% | |
| 2018-10-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 40% | |
| 2016-04-10 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 58% | |
| 2015-11-29 | 0–3 | Ath Bilbao +3 | Ath Bilbao 37% | |
| 2015-02-22 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 49% | |
| 2014-09-24 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Ath Bilbao 38% | |
| 2014-05-02 | 0–3 | Ath Bilbao +3 | Ath Bilbao 39% | |
| 2013-12-22 | 2–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 55% | |
| 2013-06-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 49% | |
| 2013-01-11 | 1–2 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 37% | |
| 2012-01-28 | 2–3 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 38% | |
| 2011-08-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 51% |