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Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 45% chance to win.
La Liga
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:15 PM GMT
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3-4-4Rating 1821
Form: WLDDD
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
La Liga
Valencia
2-3-6Rating 1816
Form: WLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Valencia

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.2%2.6%19.9%
If Win <1%4.7%4.0%11.0%
If Draw <1%1.8%3.4%20.7%
If Lose <1%1.7%1.5%26.9%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.9%6.3%9.1%
If Win <1%11.3%7.7%5.3%
If Draw <1%7.2%5.2%10.0%
If Lose <1%4.1%4.3%15.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatValencia
11Games played11
1.4Avg goals scored0.7
1.8Avg goals conceded1.5
27% / 36% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss18% / 27% / 55%
50% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatValencia
5All-time wins (22 meetings, 10 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (4 draws)0
0.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-05-14): Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano