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Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Sevilla has a 41% chance to win.
La Liga
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Sevilla
5-2-4Rating 1808
Form: LWLDL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
La Liga
Alaves
3-3-5Rating 1831
Form: LDLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.8%6.1%9.2%
If Win <1%11.8%8.8%4.5%
If Draw <1%6.3%5.7%8.8%
If Lose <1%3.7%4.0%13.7%

Sevilla

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.2%10.0%3.9%
If Win <1%21.5%13.3%1.8%
If Draw <1%14.1%9.5%3.1%
If Lose <1%8.9%8.0%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SevillaStatAlaves
11Games played11
1.5Avg goals scored1.4
1.7Avg goals conceded1.5
45% / 18% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 27% / 45%
60% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SevillaStatAlaves
7All-time wins (18 meetings, 7 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Sevilla 1–1 Alaves