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Alaves vs Barcelona Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 65% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL
vs
Model Probability
15%
Draw 21%
65%
La Liga
Barcelona
11-0-1Rating 2096
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Barcelona

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 69.8%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 73.3%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 66.3%100.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 58.8%100.0%<1%<1%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.7%6.6%8.2%
If Win <1%10.3%9.6%2.6%
If Draw <1%6.7%6.9%6.8%
If Lose <1%4.7%4.6%9.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatBarcelona
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored4.0
1.4Avg goals conceded1.1
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss92% / 0% / 8%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatBarcelona
2All-time wins (19 meetings, 2 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.6Average goals2.7
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Barcelona 6–1 Alaves