La Liga
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Barcelona has a 54% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 25%
Model Prediction Through Season
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.7% | 96.8% | 1.4% | <1% |
| If Win | 26.4% | 97.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 14.2% | 97.6% | 1.0% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.6% | 95.5% | 2.1% | <1% |
Barcelona
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 81.7% | 99.8% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 87.8% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 80.2% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 67.5% | 99.8% | <1% | <1% |
| Barcelona | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 4.4 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 100% / 0% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 71% / 0% / 29% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Barcelona | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws) | 12 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 2.1 | Average goals | 1.4 |