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Bayern Munich vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 83% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 12, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW
vs
Model Probability
83%
Draw 11%
6%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.5%3.3%11.8%2.4%
If Win <1%4.8%5.5%6.0%<1%
If Draw <1%3.4%3.1%9.3%1.6%
If Lose <1%2.4%2.5%12.3%2.2%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.9%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 85.2%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 80.0%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 78.8%99.5%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatMainz
8Games played8
3.4Avg goals scored2.1
1.0Avg goals conceded2.1
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 12% / 50%
75% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatMainz
23All-time wins (33 meetings, 3 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich